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September 22, 2011

Rate Dip Continues On Surprise Fed MBS Plan

September 22, 2011

Rate Dip Continues On Surprise Fed MBS Plan

Yesterday rates set new record lows after the Fed’s rate policy statement. Investors piled into mortgage and Treasury bonds/notes after the Fed surprised markets by saying they’d buy more mortgage bonds (MBS) starting October 3.

I explained the Fed’s plans in simple terms. I also said that the rally was extreme, and might not hold medium-term. But the rally continues definitively today with the FNMA 30yr 3.5% coupon +53 basis points, so rates are stunningly low.

Still, I hold to this statement from yesterday:

So if you’ve been rate shopping, be aware that today’s levels may correct in the coming days, and this is a very good time to lock.

But even if rates come up a bit as mortgage bond prices come off these nosebleed levels, the economic fundamentals noted/linked above still support very low rates.